TON Price Prediction: Targets $1.45-$1.60 by March as Technical Indicators Signal Recovery
Alvin Lang Feb 10, 2026 07:55
TON Price Prediction Summary • Short-term target (1 week) : $1.41-$1.45 • Medium-term forecast (1 month) : $1.45-$1.60 range • Bullish breakout level : $1.41 • Critical support : $1.3...
TON Price Prediction Summary
• Short-term target (1 week): $1.41-$1.45 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $1.45-$1.60 range • Bullish breakout level: $1.41 • Critical support: $1.31
What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Toncoin
While specific analyst predictions are limited for the current timeframe, on-chain metrics suggest Toncoin is approaching oversold conditions that historically precede price recoveries. According to recent market data, TON has experienced significant deviation from earlier January forecasts that projected targets between $2.13 to $2.39, indicating the market has undergone a substantial correction phase.
The current technical positioning suggests institutional accumulation may be occurring at these lower levels, though trading volume remains relatively modest at $7.8 million on Binance spot markets.
TON Technical Analysis Breakdown
Toncoin's technical landscape presents a mixed but increasingly constructive picture. The RSI reading of 38.76 places TON in neutral territory, approaching oversold conditions that often signal potential reversals. This RSI level indicates selling pressure may be exhausting itself.
The MACD histogram at 0.0000 shows bearish momentum is stalling, with the main MACD line at -0.0702 matching the signal line exactly. This convergence often precedes directional changes in price action.
Bollinger Band analysis reveals TON trading at 0.24 position between the bands, significantly closer to the lower band at $1.27 than the upper band at $1.60. This positioning, combined with the middle band (20-day SMA) at $1.43, suggests substantial upside potential if momentum shifts positive.
The moving average structure shows immediate resistance at the 7-day SMA of $1.37, followed by more significant resistance at the 20-day SMA of $1.43. The 50-day SMA at $1.59 represents the key medium-term target, while the 200-day SMA at $2.28 highlights the longer-term upside potential.
Toncoin Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish Scenario
A sustained break above $1.41 resistance could trigger a move toward $1.45-$1.50 in the near term. Technical confirmation would come from RSI moving above 45 and MACD histogram turning positive.
The primary bullish target sits at $1.60 (upper Bollinger Band), representing approximately 18% upside from current levels. A break above this level could extend gains toward the 50-day moving average at $1.59, creating a potential 20% rally scenario.
Volume expansion above 10 million daily on Binance would provide additional confirmation of bullish momentum resumption.
Bearish Scenario
Failure to hold support at $1.33 could trigger further downside toward $1.31 strong support. A break below this level would expose TON to a potential decline toward $1.27 (lower Bollinger Band).
The most concerning bearish scenario would involve a breakdown below $1.25, which could trigger algorithmic selling and push prices toward the psychological $1.00 level. However, current technical indicators suggest this scenario has lower probability given the neutral RSI reading.
Should You Buy TON? Entry Strategy
The current technical setup suggests a scaled entry approach for Toncoin. Initial positions could be established around $1.35-$1.36, with additional purchases planned on any dips toward $1.31-$1.33 support zone.
Stop-loss levels should be placed below $1.29 to limit downside risk while allowing for normal price volatility. The daily ATR of $0.11 indicates typical daily moves of approximately 8%, supporting this stop-loss placement.
Risk management suggests position sizing should account for potential 15-20% drawdowns, with total TON allocation not exceeding 2-3% of portfolio value given the current market uncertainty.
Conclusion
This TON price prediction suggests moderate bullish potential over the next 4-6 weeks, with targets between $1.45-$1.60 representing reasonable expectations. The Toncoin forecast relies heavily on technical support holding at current levels and broader cryptocurrency market stability.
Current risk-reward ratios favor long positions, with potential 15-20% upside against 8-12% downside risk to major support levels. However, traders should remain cautious given the significant deviation from earlier analyst projections and monitor volume patterns for confirmation of any breakout attempts.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry substantial risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
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