Real Vision CEO: The current crypto market is repeating the 2017 pattern, and the bull market cycle may continue until the second quarter of 2026

2025/06/21 14:34

PANews reported on June 21 that according to Cointelegraph, Raoul Pal, CEO of Real Vision, said that the current cryptocurrency market is repeating the pattern of 2017, when Bitcoin showed a steady upward trend throughout the year and then soared in December. In addition, macroeconomic data shows that the current cryptocurrency cycle may continue until the second quarter of 2026.

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Bitcoin Selling Pressure: Crucial Analysis Reveals Short-Term Holder Impact

Bitcoin Selling Pressure: Crucial Analysis Reveals Short-Term Holder Impact

BitcoinWorld Bitcoin Selling Pressure: Crucial Analysis Reveals Short-Term Holder Impact The world of cryptocurrency is constantly evolving, presenting both exciting opportunities and significant challenges. Currently, a key dynamic is influencing the market: substantial Bitcoin selling pressure. Understanding this pressure, especially from short-term holders, is absolutely crucial for anyone involved in the crypto space. On-chain analytics firm Glassnode has recently provided insightful data that sheds light on why BTC might be struggling to gain significant upward momentum at its current levels. What’s Driving the Intense Bitcoin Selling Pressure? According to Glassnode’s comprehensive analysis, Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading within a very specific and challenging price corridor. This range, spanning approximately $113,600 to $115,600, isn’t just arbitrary; it represents the average purchase price for a significant cohort of short-term holders. These are individuals who acquired their Bitcoin relatively recently, typically within the last one to three months. For these newer investors, the current market price means their investments are effectively “underwater” – they are holding Bitcoin at a loss compared to their initial cost basis. This situation creates a powerful, almost gravitational, market dynamic: Break-Even Motivation: As BTC’s price attempts to rebound and approaches this critical range, many short-term holders are motivated to sell. Their primary goal is often to “break even” on their investment or to cut their losses before they deepen. Supply Overhang: This collective desire to exit or reduce exposure at cost creates a substantial “supply overhang.” Essentially, there are many sellers waiting at these specific price points. Resistance Formation: Consequently, this range acts as a formidable resistance level. Any upward price movement is met with a wave of sell orders, making it incredibly difficult for Bitcoin to push through and establish higher highs in the short term. This persistent Bitcoin selling pressure from short-term holders is a significant factor limiting immediate upside potential. Why Do Short-Term Holders Influence BTC So Much? The actions of short-term holders carry considerable weight in the market, especially during periods of price consolidation. Unlike long-term holders, who possess a stronger conviction and often ride out market volatility, short-term holders are generally more reactive. Their investment strategies are often focused on quicker gains or minimizing short-term losses. When a large segment of this group finds their positions in the red, their collective sentiment can quickly shift from optimism to a desire for capital preservation. This isn’t necessarily a sign of weakness in Bitcoin itself, but rather a natural market cleansing process. It highlights the importance of understanding market psychology and the different investor cohorts at play. The current Bitcoin selling pressure illustrates how crucial it is to monitor these on-chain metrics. Navigating This Challenging Market: What Can Investors Do? For both seasoned and new investors, understanding the implications of this analysis is key to making informed decisions. The current environment, marked by significant Bitcoin selling pressure, calls for a strategic approach. Consider these actionable insights: Exercise Patience: Expect potential volatility and constrained upward movement in the short term. Significant rallies may require sustained buying volume to absorb the existing supply. Leverage On-Chain Analytics: Tools from firms like Glassnode offer unparalleled visibility into market internals. Monitoring metrics related to holder behavior, cost basis, and supply distribution can provide a clearer picture than price charts alone. Re-evaluate Risk Tolerance: If you are a short-term trader, be particularly mindful of these resistance levels. Long-term investors might view such periods as opportunities for strategic accumulation, but always within your defined risk parameters. Identify Potential Catalysts: While internal market dynamics are at play, external factors could shift the narrative. Keep an eye on major macroeconomic news, regulatory developments, or significant institutional announcements that could provide the necessary impetus for a breakout. This phase is a test of market resilience. It underscores the importance of a well-thought-out investment strategy rather than impulsive reactions. Conclusion: The Path Forward for Bitcoin Amidst Pressure The analysis revealing substantial Bitcoin selling pressure from short-term holders around the $113,600 to $115,600 range provides a critical lens through which to view the current market. This dynamic, while limiting immediate upside, is a natural part of market cycles. It forces a period of consolidation and the absorption of overhead supply. Investors who stay informed, exercise patience, and employ robust risk management strategies will be better positioned to navigate these challenging waters and capitalize on Bitcoin’s long-term potential. Understanding these fundamental forces is paramount for a clearer perspective on Bitcoin’s journey ahead. Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) 1. What is “short-term holder cost basis”? It refers to the average price at which short-term Bitcoin holders (those who bought BTC 1-3 months ago) initially purchased their assets. If the current price is below this, they are at a loss. 2. Why do short-term holders sell at a loss? Often, short-term holders sell when the price approaches their cost basis to “break even” or minimize further losses, especially if they believe the price might drop further. This creates selling pressure. 3. How does this Bitcoin selling pressure affect BTC’s price? This pressure creates strong resistance levels. As Bitcoin’s price tries to rise, it encounters a significant number of sell orders from these holders, which can cap upward movement and lead to consolidation or minor pullbacks. 4. What can investors do during periods of high Bitcoin selling pressure? Investors can practice patience, monitor on-chain data for insights, reassess their risk tolerance, and look for potential catalysts that could shift market sentiment and overcome the selling pressure. 5. Is this a bearish sign for Bitcoin’s long-term outlook? Not necessarily. While it indicates short-term resistance, such periods of consolidation and supply absorption are a natural part of market cycles. They can help build a stronger foundation for future growth, testing investor resolve. Did this analysis help you understand the current Bitcoin market better? Share this article with your fellow crypto enthusiasts on social media to spread awareness and foster informed discussions! To learn more about the latest Bitcoin trends, explore our article on key developments shaping Bitcoin price action. This post Bitcoin Selling Pressure: Crucial Analysis Reveals Short-Term Holder Impact first appeared on BitcoinWorld and is written by Editorial Team
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Coinstats2025/08/28 18:30
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