A chart pattern buried in XRP’s three-day time frame is drawing attention from one crypto analyst. He says it has appeared before every significant XRP rally over the past year, and he believes it’s about to appear again.
Steph Is Crypto (@Steph_iscrypto), a well-known analyst, laid out his case in a video. His focus is a MACD crossover on XRP’s three-day chart that he says is “literally imminent.”
The MACD indicator measures momentum by tracking two lines. When the faster line crosses above the slower one, it’s known as a bullish crossover. Steph says this exact pattern has emerged four times on XRP’s chart since April 2025, and each time, the asset’s price moved upward.
In April 2025, he says the crossover led to a 22% price increase within one to two weeks. By late June 2025, a similar crossover preceded a jump of almost 70%, pushing it to its all-time high of $3.65. In January 2026, the asset also gained 32% in under a week, following the same pattern. A fourth crossover brought a 20% gain.
Steph says this crossover has already played out on the daily time frame, and XRP climbed roughly 12% afterward. The same setup is developing on the three-day chart. “It could happen tomorrow or the day after,” he said.
Steph also pointed to XRP’s weekly EMA ribbons. He says a decisive break below these ribbons has marked every major XRP downturn since 2022. That break took roughly 147 days to reverse in 2022 and about 98 days in 2024. This time, he says XRP broke below the ribbons in January 2026, and the price has stayed below them for 154 days.
He places the ribbons’ lower boundary at $1.43 and the upper boundary at $1.72. Analyst says a retest of that range is likely given the current setup, tagging the potential downside as fairly limited compared to the potential upside.
Steph says XRP is now positioned for a retest of the EMA ribbons, setting $1.44 to $1.72 as his target zone. If it falls short of that and drops further instead, he points to the lower boundary of the monthly ribbons as the level he’d expect to hold.
He says that level has marked the bear market low for XRP in past cycles. However, he has also previously shown that pulling back to this region preceded major breakouts. Now all eyes are on XRP’s three-day chart and whether the crossover Steph flagged materializes in the next 24 to 48 hours.
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