Robinhood is deepening its foray into prediction markets with plans to launch a derivatives exchange through a new JV with Susquehanna.Robinhood is deepening its foray into prediction markets with plans to launch a derivatives exchange through a new JV with Susquehanna.

Robinhood to launch new derivatives exchange for prediction markets push

3 min read

Robinhood is deepening its foray into prediction markets by partnering with Susquehanna International Group to launch a new joint venture that will establish a futures, derivatives exchange, and clearinghouse.

In a statement released Tuesday, Robinhood said that the joint venture will be controlled by Robinhood Markets Inc. and will acquire MIAXdx, Derivatives Clearing Organization and Swap Execution Facility from Miami International Holdings. MIAXdx is a designated contract market licensed by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

Under the plan, MIAX will retain a 10% equity stake in the new exchange. Susquehanna will serve as a day-one liquidity provider, with additional liquidity partners to follow. The new exchange is expected to offer futures and derivative products, including prediction markets, and is set to begin operations in 2026.

"Robinhood is seeing strong customer demand for prediction markets, and we’re excited to build on that momentum," JB Mackenzie, VP and general manager of futures and international at Robinhood, said in the statement. “Our investment in infrastructure will position us to deliver an even better experience and more innovative products for customers.”

Robinhood noted that prediction markets have become its fastest-growing product line by revenue, with more than 9 billion contracts traded by over 1 million customers to date. The Block has reached out to Robinhood for further details on the upcoming exchange.

In March, Robinhood partnered with Kalshi to launch a prediction-markets hub within its app via Robinhood Derivatives, covering U.S. politics, macroeconomic indicators, and sports. In August, it rolled out sports-related markets tied to the NFL and NCAA football, also in collaboration with Kalshi.

Analysts at Bernstein said earlier this month that prediction markets are evolving beyond simple event betting into broader information trading venues. The analysts observed surging volumes across platforms like Robinhood and Kalshi, suggesting growing mainstream acceptance of prediction markets.

U.S.-regulated Kalshi has outpaced rival Polymarket in monthly volume since September, according to The Block's dashboard. In October, Kalshi recorded $4.4 billion in volume, compared with Polymarket's $3.02 billion.


Disclaimer: The Block is an independent media outlet that delivers news, research, and data. As of November 2023, Foresight Ventures is a majority investor of The Block. Foresight Ventures invests in other companies in the crypto space. Crypto exchange Bitget is an anchor LP for Foresight Ventures. The Block continues to operate independently to deliver objective, impactful, and timely information about the crypto industry. Here are our current financial disclosures.

© 2025 The Block. All Rights Reserved. This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

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BitcoinWorld Crucial US Stock Market Update: What Wednesday’s Mixed Close Reveals The financial world often keeps us on our toes, and Wednesday was no exception. Investors watched closely as the US stock market concluded the day with a mixed performance across its major indexes. This snapshot offers a crucial glimpse into current investor sentiment and economic undercurrents, prompting many to ask: what exactly happened? Understanding the Latest US Stock Market Movements On Wednesday, the closing bell brought a varied picture for the US stock market. While some indexes celebrated gains, others registered slight declines, creating a truly mixed bag for investors. The Dow Jones Industrial Average showed resilience, climbing by a notable 0.57%. This positive movement suggests strength in some of the larger, more established companies. Conversely, the S&P 500, a broader benchmark often seen as a barometer for the overall market, experienced a modest dip of 0.1%. 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At the same time, concerns over inflation, interest rate policies by the Federal Reserve, or even global economic uncertainties could have pressured growth stocks, affecting the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. Key considerations often include: Economic Data: Recent reports on employment, manufacturing, or consumer spending can sway market sentiment. Corporate Announcements: Strong or weak earnings forecasts from influential companies can significantly impact their respective sectors. Interest Rate Expectations: The prospect of higher or lower interest rates directly influences borrowing costs for businesses and consumer spending, affecting future profitability. Geopolitical Events: Global tensions or trade policies can introduce uncertainty, causing investors to become more cautious. Understanding these underlying drivers is crucial for anyone trying to make sense of daily market fluctuations in the US stock market. Navigating Volatility in the US Stock Market A mixed close, while not a dramatic downturn, serves as a reminder that market volatility is a constant companion for investors. For those involved in the US stock market, particularly individuals managing their portfolios, these days underscore the importance of a well-thought-out strategy. It’s important not to react impulsively to daily movements. Instead, consider these actionable insights: Diversification: Spreading investments across different sectors and asset classes can help mitigate risk when one area underperforms. Long-Term Perspective: Focusing on long-term financial goals rather than short-term gains can help weather daily market swings. Stay Informed: Keeping abreast of economic news and company fundamentals provides context for market behavior. Consult Experts: Financial advisors can offer personalized guidance based on individual risk tolerance and objectives. 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