Over 100 Crypto ETPs Launching Soon but Many Won’t Survive
- Over 100 crypto ETPs expected to launch in 2026, with 126+ applications pending SEC approval.
- Bloomberg analyst predicts mass liquidations by end of 2027 due to insufficient investor demand.
Next year the cryptocurrency investment environment is set to undergo a big change. Projections are showing that there will be more than 100 new exchange-traded products launched. Nevertheless, a few voices in the industry have expressed their concern that a large number of these products will be unable to continue their activity after 2027 because of a lack of investors and low asset accumulation.
Market Saturation Threatens New Products
According to James Seyffart of Bloomberg, a considerable amount of crypto ETP liquidations will take place towards the end of 2026 or during 2027, despite the expected wave of launches. Right now, there are over 126 filings that are waiting for a green light from the SEC, thus resulting in a heavily saturated market situation in which the issuers are simultaneously experimenting with multiple products.
Product sustainability concerns are backed up by historical trends, as 622 ETFs closed worldwide last year, out of which 189 closed just in America. The average lifetime of American ETFs, which are set to close in 2023, is 5.4 years, as per the research done by Morningstar. The main reasons for the failures are a lack of sufficient inflows and low assets under management, thus making it impossible to be profitable.
The regulatory environment underwent a significant change when the SEC put in place generic listing standards in September, thus doing away with case-by-case application reviews. With this alteration, approvals are quickened; however, it also makes it possible for more and more speculative products to be introduced to the market, among which there are ETFs related to memecoins such as Melania Trump’s token.
Different crypto investment vehicles have shown very different results in recent market performance. In just a few weeks after the first day of trading in January 2024, Bitcoin ETFs drew a massive amount of $57.6 billion in inflows, whereas after their launch in July 2024, Ethereum products only managed to gather $12.6 billion. The latest offerings have slower growth rates as leading Solana ETFs have been able to raise only $725 million since the end of October.
As a matter of fact, a number of products have given in to the market demands in this year already, among which two ARK 21Shares strategies concentrate on Bitcoin and Ethereum. The move away from Bitcoin and Ethereum towards altcoins such as Litecoin, Solana, and XRP was a moderate success; however, there are still doubts as to whether the market will be able to support hundreds of new products vying for a few investor capitals.
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