The crypto market has been on edge as more information has come to light concerning the economic meeting held at the BOJ. The minutes suggest that the central bank is poised to deliver further cuts in interest rates, with the Yen crashing as a result of the last announcement.
BOJ Policy Debate Suggests More Rate Cuts Are Likely
The most recent reports about the meeting of the Bank of Japan in December have stressed that interest rates may continue to rise. Some members said that Japan’s interest rates are highly abnormal and that this has had effects on the falling value of the yen and the inflation rate.
One of the board members also highlighted that Japan has the lowest real policy rate among the biggest economies.
As pointed out, currency fluctuations are progressively having an impact on domestic prices. As a result, the question of exchange rate stability is an ever-changing topic under discussion within the BOJ.
The bank has recently raised its benchmark interest rate to 0.75% at its last board meeting, which is the highest in the past three decades. Some board members agreed that the current rates are much lower than the neutral rate after adjusting it for the rate of inflation.
The rest hinted that there might be further increases in the coming months.
Economists forecast another increase in the coming six months, and the terminal rate is projected between 1.25% and 1.50% in 2027.
Recently, this decision has happened at the same time as the sharp fall of the Japanese yen, which is now at multiple-decade lows. The fact that it has been falling in value has come as a surprise to many analysts.
This comes as the central bank has been trying to implement a normalized interest rate structure in a situation that saw zero interest rates just a few years back.
Why Does the BOJ Move Matter to the Crypto Market?
Investors usually borrow money at low interest rates. They use this money to invest in other assets that offer higher returns. These assets include stocks and cryptocurrencies.
However, with rising yields in Japan, some investors using borrowed yen may start to reduce their leveraged portfolios. Experts warn that if borrowing costs keep increasing, some investors might pull back from riskier assets to manage their debt, leading to more volatility in the crypto market.
Historical trends support these concerns. Bitcoin dropped significantly following recent changes in Bank of Japan policies. It fell by over 20% after rate decisions in March and July 2024. The rate hike in January 2025 caused it to fall by more than 30% as well.
Source: https://coingape.com/crypto-market-braces-for-impact-as-boj-signals-further-rate-cuts-despite-yen-crash/
