COMP is stabilizing at the 24.13$ level, while intraday critical support and resistance levels should be closely monitored. Short-term downtrend dominates, but MACD shows positive histogram with mild momentum signals.
Short-Term Market Outlook
COMP is trading at 24.13$ as of the morning of January 25, 2026, recording a slight 0.29% increase over the last 24 hours. The daily range is squeezed between 23.82$ – 24.46$, with volume remaining at a moderate 5.29M$. The short-term trend continues as downtrend; price is positioned below EMA20 (24.23$) and Supertrend gives a bearish signal, with resistance emerging at 25.38$. RSI at 44.94 is in neutral territory, but the MACD histogram is positive and approaching a bullish crossover, signaling a potential momentum surge. On a higher timeframe (4H), 8 strong levels were identified: 1D(1S/1R), 3D(1S/1R), 1W(3S/3R). In this context, increased volatility is expected over the next 24-48 hours, particularly dependent on BTC movements. Risk is high for short-term traders; quick invalidation points are critically important. If price fails to hold the 24.10$ support, downside could accelerate, while a close above 24.51$ could open upside doors. There are no significant developments in the news flow, so technical levels will remain in focus. Check detailed data for COMP Spot Analysis and COMP Futures Analysis.
Intraday Critical Levels
Nearby Support Zones
Instant support zone at 24.1000$ (score: 72/100), which has shown strong resilience in low-volume intraday tests. Watch for a break below 24.00$ for quick invalidation; in that case, the next support at 23.4684$ (score: 67/100) comes into play. In a deeper drop, 22.3650$ downside target (score: 22/100) may come into focus. These levels are ideal for scalping, but stop-losses should be kept tight – for example, a 0.5% loss below 24.1000$ should be set as maximum risk.
Nearby Resistance Zones
First resistance at 24.1946$ (score: 68/100) is immediately above, followed by the strong 24.5173$ level (score: 78/100). Supertrend resistance at 25.38$ and long-term target 25.8143$ (score: 63/100) should be monitored. These resistances can act as quick rejection mechanisms in momentum surges; a close above 24.5173$ is key for bullish invalidation.
Momentum and Speed Analysis
Short-term momentum is mixed: RSI 44.94 neutral, not near oversold but carries recovery potential. MACD shows positive divergence with bullish histogram, which could indicate acceleration within 24 hours. Although Supertrend is bearish, crossing EMA20 (24.23$) is a critical threshold for momentum shift. Volume is low, so sudden spikes could be triggers. On the 1H chart, speed indicators (e.g., Stochastic) are at 40%, with a crossover above 60% expected for upside. Downside speed increases on a 24.10$ break; traders should seek confirmation with volume profile. Overall, volatility is expected in the 2-4% range over the 24-48 hour window, and position sizing should be limited to 1-2% of capital for risk management.
Short-Term Scenarios
Upside Scenario
Strong close above 24.5173$ (score 78) breaks EMA20 (24.23$) and flips Supertrend. Trigger: 24.19$ breakout + MACD histogram expansion. Target: 25.38$ first, then 25.8143$. Invalidation: Rejection below 24.10$. This scenario has 35% probability if BTC stays stable (above 1% rise); ideal for quick scalps, but overextension risk is high.
Downside Scenario
If 24.1000$ support breaks (score 72), downtrend accelerates. Trigger: Volume increase with close below 24.00$. Target: 23.4684$, then 22.3650$. Invalidation: 24.51$ bounce. Probability increases 45% if BTC slips below 88,886$. Suitable for short-term short positions, managed with trailing stops.
Bitcoin Correlation
BTC is sideways at 88,928$ level, weak with 0.98% drop. Main supports at 88,886$, 87,635$, resistances at 89,190$, 90,722$. BTC Supertrend bearish, caution signal for altcoins – COMP correlated 0.75% to BTC. If BTC breaks below 88,886$, COMP’s 24.10$ support will be tested, increasing downside pressure. Conversely, if BTC recovers above 89,190$, COMP upside scenario strengthens. Short-term traders should use BTC levels as primary filter: if BTC <88,886$, delay COMP longs.
Daily Summary and Monitoring Points
– Key watch: 24.1000$ support, 24.5173$ resistance.
– Momentum trigger: MACD histogram expansion / RSI >50.
– BTC filter: Below 88,886$ = COMP bearish bias.
– Risk: Short-term trades carry high volatility, do not exceed 1% of capital, exit with quick invalidations.
– 24-48 hour outlook: Unbalanced, downtrend bias (55% bearish). Volume spikes and level tests are priority.
This analysis uses the market views and methodology of Chief Analyst Devrim Cacal.
Source: https://en.coinotag.com/analysis/comp-intraday-analysis-january-25-2026-short-term-strategy
