These Classic Bitcoin Metrics Forecast a ‘Big Move’ Ahead in BTC Price

Bitcoin (BTC) has recovered 25% from its multi-year low below $60,000, with momentum indicators flashing rare “buy” signals.

Key takeaways:

• Bitcoin’s MACD and RSI indicators forecast a sharp BTC price rally in the coming days.

• Bitcoin price must reclaim $78,000 in the coming days to sustain upward momentum.

Bitcoin’s MACD, RSI confirm “bull market is on”

Data from TradingView showed BTC/USD trading at $75,300, 4% below its 10-week high of $78,380 reached on Friday. 

Despite this pullback, fueled by uncertainties over the US and Israel-Iran war, price indicators hinted at continued upside to come.

Analyzing the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator in the weekly time frame, trader Sykodelic flagged a key bullish crossover, setting Bitcoin up for an upward run.

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“Not only do we have a 1W MACD bullish cross and break of trend, we have it from the lowest point the MACD has ever dropped to,” analyst Sykodelic said in a recent post on X, adding:

Previous instances show that Bitcoin tends to rise sharply when the MACD line (blue) crosses above the signal line (orange). 

This ultimately has led to 340%-380% BTC price gains, as seen in 2018-2019 and 2022-2023.

“A big move usually follows whenever this weekly MACD bullish cross happens,” analyst Mikybull Crypto said in a recent post on X.

Meanwhile, the relative strength index, or RSI, has now recovered to 43 from 21 in mid-February. When combined with a buy signal on the MACD, the picture begins to resemble previous cycles.

In a recent video posted on X, trading resource Material Indicators said that the weekly RSI holding above the 41 level was among the “macro things that need to happen to say a validated bull market is on.” 

Previous occurrences in 2023, 2020 and 2019 have led to 660%, 1,600% and 316% BTC price rallies, respectively.

Other Bitcoin analysts suggest that sustained spot market buy volume and consistent inflows to the Bitcoin ETFs are the necessary components required for a rally to new highs.

Bitcoin must reclaim $78,000 next

As Cointelegraph reported, Bitcoin’s bullish case hinges on flipping the resistance at $78,000 into support, where the true market mean currently sits.

Analyzing Bitcoin’s price action on lower time frames, Telegram trading resource Technical Crypto Analyst said that after reclaiming the $70,000 level, the BTC/USD pair is “now pushing into a major supply zone around 75K–78K, which is acting as resistance,” adding:

Fellow analyst Bitcoinsensus said failure to break above $78,000 would suggest that the latest rally was a “possible bull trap,” as seen in previous failed breakouts. 

As Cointelegraph reported, a close above the $76,000-$78,000 area would confirm that the buyers are in control, clearing the path for a potential rally to $84,000.