ETF Inflows Clash With Descending Trendline Pressure

• XRP remains capped below a long-term descending trendline and stacked EMAs, keeping the broader structure bearish.
• Spot outflows persist during rallies, signaling distribution even as price stabilizes above $1.88 support.
• U.S. XRP ETFs have logged 19 straight inflow days, but price needs a break above $2.20 to confirm a reversal.

XRP price today trades near $1.91 after another failed attempt to reclaim the declining trendline that has capped price since August. The token is holding just above the $1.88 to $1.90 support zone, but momentum remains fragile as sellers defend overhead resistance while spot flows stay negative.

Sellers Maintain Control Below The Descending Trendline

On the daily chart, XRP remains trapped beneath a long-term descending trendline that connects the August and October highs. Each rally toward that trendline has been rejected, reinforcing a pattern of lower highs.

Price is also trading below the full EMA stack. The 20-day EMA near $2.05 and the 50-day EMA around $2.19 have rolled over and now act as dynamic resistance. Above them, the 100-day EMA near $2.37 and the 200-day EMA close to $2.44 define the broader ceiling that bulls have been unable to challenge since September.

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This alignment keeps the structure bearish. As long as XRP remains below the EMA cluster, rallies continue to attract sellers rather than trend buyers.

Short Term Charts Show Weak Bounces, Not Reversals

On the 2-hour chart, XRP recently bounced from the $1.86 to $1.88 demand pocket after a sharp selloff. The move lifted price back toward $1.92, but follow-through has been limited.

Momentum indicators reflect that hesitation. RSI recovered from oversold levels but remains below the neutral 50 mark, suggesting stabilization rather than renewed strength. MACD is still negative, with histogram bars showing only minor compression instead of a clear bullish crossover.

Spot Outflows Continue To Pressure Price

Exchange flow data adds another layer of caution. Recent sessions show persistent spot outflows, including a net outflow of roughly $8 million on Dec. 16. While not extreme, the pattern confirms that traders continue to move XRP onto exchanges during rallies.

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Until spot flows stabilize or turn positive, upside attempts remain vulnerable to selling pressure near resistance zones.

ETF Inflows Signal Institutional Demand Beneath The Surface

The counterweight to this bearish structure comes from the ETF market. XRP exchange-traded funds in the United States recorded net inflows for 19 consecutive trading days through December 12, with cumulative inflows reaching $974.5 million and total net assets climbing to about $1.18 billion.

Notably, the streak included zero outflow days. Large inflow sessions occurred early, including $243 million on Nov. 14 and $164 million on Nov. 24, followed by continued but smaller daily additions in December.

Market participants view this as institutional positioning rather than retail speculation. XRP ETF assets have now surpassed Solana ETF assets in the U.S. market, highlighting stronger institutional demand for XRP exposure through regulated products.

Outlook. Will XRP Go Up?

XRP sits at the crossroads between strong institutional inflows and a chart that continues to favor sellers.

• Bullish case: A daily close above $2.20, followed by a breakout through the descending trendline, would signal that buyers are finally converting ETF demand into price strength.
• Bearish case: Losing $1.85 on a closing basis confirms trend continuation and opens the door to a deeper pullback toward $1.70.

Until XRP reclaims its EMA cluster and breaks trendline resistance, the market treats rallies as reactions, not reversals.

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