Bitcoin had a phenomenal year that started after 2024’s US presidential elections and culminated in early October with a surge to a new all-time high of over $126,000. The asset also spent several consecutive months within a six-digit price territory, and it enjoyed a healthy demand for the spot Bitcoin ETFs alongside different sorts of adoption.
However, the landscape since that aforementioned new peak has been quite different. Its price tumbled by over 30% and sits well below $90,000 as of press time. As such, the sentiment has flipped to mostly bearish, with numerous analysts calling for the start of a new such phase. Merlijn The Trader, though, sees things differently.
Citing a recent interview by Raoul Pal, in which he argued that the four-year cycle narrative is over and BTC is now driven by liquidity as it explains 90% of its price action, Merlijn explained that the asset’s initial phase has ended when ETFs, sovereigns, and macro funds turned it into a global commodity.
Further, both noted that they aim to trade liquidity, not calendars, and outlined the significant changes coming for next year:
– Business cycle bottoming
– Fiscal stimulus loading
– Global money printer warming up
– Institutions forced to chase
Merlijn concluded that corrections are not the end of the bull markets anymore: instead, he called them “slingshots.” Consequently, he warned traders that they need to adapt to the new BTC cycle version:
Given the price movements over the past couple of months, it’s difficult to speculate about massive increases in 2026. However, pseudonymous analyst Wise Crypto recently did that and highlighted a mindblowing target of up to $600,000 next year if all factors align in a perfect crypto storm.
Some of those include the highly anticipated end to the Fed’s quantitative tightening, additional rate cuts, improving short-term liquidity through Treasury bill support, and the US mid-term election cycle, all of which should lean in favor of risk assets.
The post Bitcoin Is Not Crashing, It’s Coiling: Analyst Predicts Massive BTC Breakout Next appeared first on CryptoPotato.



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