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Prediction-Market

Prediction Markets are decentralized platforms where users trade shares based on the outcome of future events, ranging from elections to sports and crypto prices.By leveraging the "wisdom of the crowd," platforms like Polymarket provide highly accurate, censorship-resistant forecasting data. In 2026, these markets serve as a primary source of sentiment analysis and risk hedging. This tag covers the technology behind decentralized oracles, event-based liquidity, and the growing role of prediction markets in global information discovery.

898 Articles
Created: 2026/02/02 18:52
Updated: 2026/02/02 18:52
Prediction Market Kalshi’s Valuation Jumps to $11B After Reported $1B Raise

Prediction Market Kalshi’s Valuation Jumps to $11B After Reported $1B Raise

The post Prediction Market Kalshi’s Valuation Jumps to $11B After Reported $1B Raise appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. In brief Prediction market Kalshi’s valuation has hit $11 billion after reports of an undisclosed $1 billion funding round. Independent data show the platform hitting $50 billion in annualized volume and $4.4 billion in October trades. Federal rulings and state-level disputes continue to define the firm’s U.S. expansion as rivals regain domestic access. U.S. prediction market platform Kalshi has reportedly pushed its valuation to roughly $11 billion after raising $1 billion in a yet undisclosed funding round, according to an initial report from TechCrunch citing a source with knowledge of the deal. The rise in valuation marks one of the fastest step-ups in the prediction market sector this year. The company closed the round weeks after securing $300 million at a $5 billion valuation in October. Trading activity, market depth, and user adoption continued to climb into this year’s final quarter. Kalshi’s annualized trading volume reached about $50 billion last month, according to a report from crypto analytics platform CryptoRank. The figure marks a dramatic jump from roughly $300 million just a year ago, as reported by the New York Times. It has also outpaced Polymarket, its main rival. Just last month, it generated approximately $4.4 billion in trading volume, surpassing Polymarket’s $4.1 billion during the same month.  About a third of bets on Kalshi are for sports-related markets, according to a Dune dashboard. Weekly notional volume among prediction markets have also been on a steady rise since September, according to a broader dashboard from the same maintainer. Sequoia Capital and CapitalG reportedly led the deal, joined by Andreessen Horowitz, Paradigm, Anthos Capital, Neo, and other returning backers. Kalshi’s raise “just shows the ceiling is only getting higher for prediction markets, and we haven’t seen anything yet,” Farokh Sarmad, co-founder and president of rival prediction market platform Myriad, told…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/11/22

Kaito, Polymarket have launched the first “verifiable mindshare markets"

Kaito, Polymarket have launched the first “verifiable mindshare markets"

The post Kaito, Polymarket have launched the first “verifiable mindshare markets" appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Kaito, the Web3 information platform that specializes in indexing hard-to-reach crypto data, has launched what it describes as the first “verifiable mindshare markets” on Polymarket, opening a new category of prediction markets built on AI-derived sentiment, popularity, and social media chatter.  The partnership also highlights the work of two other partners of Kaito, with the three of them working at the intersection of AI, cryptography, and decentralized markets: Kaito for data and inference, Brevis for zero-knowledge verification, and EigenCloud for auditable AI compute. Polymarket opens a new category of markets Kaito announced the collaboration on X, stating that “This is the start of a new category – where anyone, anywhere can predict mindshare, sentiment, and popularity for anything.”  The Kaito-Polymarket product is designed to be verifiable at every stage, which is quite different from traditional sentiment indices or social-media-driven indicators, which rely on opaque algorithms. Kaito wrote “transforming AI from opaque to a verifiable system is a challenging task,” and to solve that challenge, it partnered with EigenCloud using its EigenAI product, which enables it to turn “what used to be an opaque model into verifiable compute that anyone can audit before Polymarket settles payouts.” EigenCloud wrote on X, that “AI creates the markets, EigenCloud makes the AI verifiable, and Polymarket brings it to the world,” and went further to describe the launch as “the beginning of verifiable markets.” Proprietary algorithms will be auditable The second leg of the technical system comes from Brevis, a zero-knowledge proving service that allows Kaito to keep its proprietary scoring algorithms private while still enabling users to verify that the calculations were performed correctly. Pointing out the challenge it solves for Kaito and how it ties into the Polymaket, Brevis wrote on X, “prediction markets only work if participants trust the data feeding them.…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/11/22

Kalshi Prediction Markets surge to $11B valuation

Kalshi Prediction Markets surge to $11B valuation

The post Kalshi Prediction Markets surge to $11B valuation appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. U.S. platform Kalshi, a regulated venue for event contracts, has reportedly closed a massive financing deal that reshapes the prediction markets landscape. How does Kalshi’s new funding round change the market? According to a TechCrunch report, Kalshi, a U.S.-based prediction market supervised by the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), has raised $1 billion at an $11 billion valuation. However, the company has not yet publicly confirmed the latest Kalshi funding round or disclosed official terms. The deal more than doubles Kalshi’s previous valuation of $5 billion from October, when it raised $300 million. That earlier round was backed by major investors including Sequoia Capital, Andreessen Horowitz, Paradigm, CapitalG, and Coinbase Ventures. Moreover, Sequoia Capital and CapitalG are reportedly returning to lead the current round, signaling sustained conviction from top-tier venture firms. Before these latest developments, the company had already secured $185 million at a $2 billion valuation in June, according to prior reports. If confirmed, the new financing would lift Kalshi’s total capital raised in less than six months to nearly $1.5 billion, underscoring the intense investor appetite for this segment of financial innovation. What is Kalshi and how do its prediction markets work? Kalshi operates a CFTC-regulated venue that allows users to trade contracts tied to the outcomes of real-world events, effectively turning questions about the future into tradable assets. Its platform reportedly serves participants from more than 140 countries, although it is structured as a U.S. prediction market under the CFTC regime. That said, regulatory oversight remains a key differentiator in a sector often associated with informal betting sites. On Kalshi, users can place positions on topics ranging from sporting events and political elections to film ratings on Rotten Tomatoes and awards such as Time Magazine’s Person of the Year. This broad catalogue aims to capture global interest…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/11/22

Game-Changing Prediction Market Platform: Fanatics and Crypto.com Transform Sports Betting

Game-Changing Prediction Market Platform: Fanatics and Crypto.com Transform Sports Betting

BitcoinWorld Game-Changing Prediction Market Platform: Fanatics and Crypto.com Transform Sports Betting Get ready for a revolutionary shift in sports betting! Fanatics, the sports merchandise giant, is teaming up with Crypto.com to launch an innovative prediction market platform that could change how fans engage with their favorite sports forever. This exciting partnership marks a significant milestone in the evolution of sports entertainment and cryptocurrency integration. What Makes […] This post Game-Changing Prediction Market Platform: Fanatics and Crypto.com Transform Sports Betting first appeared on BitcoinWorld.

Author: bitcoinworld

2025/11/22

Kalshi prediction markets unicorn raises $1B at $11B valuation

Kalshi prediction markets unicorn raises $1B at $11B valuation

U.S. platform Kalshi, a regulated venue for event contracts, has reportedly closed a massive financing deal that reshapes the prediction markets landscape. How does Kalshi’s new funding round change the market? According to a TechCrunch report, Kalshi, a U.S.-based prediction market supervised by the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), has raised $1 billion at an […]

Author: The Cryptonomist

2025/11/21

Prediction Markets Attract Wall Street and Silicon Valley

Prediction Markets Attract Wall Street and Silicon Valley

The post Prediction Markets Attract Wall Street and Silicon Valley appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Prediction markets surge as institutions and sports firms chase new financial frontiers. Major valuations jump, signaling rising investor confidence in event-based trading. Politics, media, and sports converge, expanding prediction markets into mainstream arenas. Prediction markets are moving from niche curiosity to mainstream financial battleground as major exchanges, venture firms, gambling companies, and political players chase a rapidly expanding industry. The shift gained momentum over the past two months as major investments, new alliances, and regulatory openings pushed event-based trading into the center of market discussions.  This surge has created a competitive environment where traditional finance executives, crypto founders, and sports organizations now seek a stake in an emerging sector that blends forecasting with real-time speculation. Big Investors Accelerate the Market Shift Major institutions now view event contracts as a potential new asset class. According to Bloomberg, ICE CEO Jeffrey Sprecher recently backed Polymarket after recognizing its potential to reshape how traders analyze future outcomes.  Besides that, Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour raised expectations by predicting that the sector could grow into a trillion-dollar industry. The rush for influence has drawn major players like CME Group, Flutter Entertainment, DraftKings, and Penn Entertainment into the mix. These companies are strengthening their positions as sports and finance move closer together. Moreover, Kalshi’s valuation jumped from $2 billion to over $10 billion within months. Polymarket followed with a surge toward a valuation above $12 billion after acquiring QCX to secure access to regulated U.S. markets. These valuations reflect rising confidence among institutional investors, who now see prediction markets as a strategic frontier rather than a regulatory risk. Sports and entertainment companies are now exploring direct involvement. The NHL recently worked with both Kalshi and Polymarket as leagues test how prediction products fit into fan engagement.  Additionally, Polymarket secured partnerships with PrizePicks and the UFC, helping…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/11/21

Prediction Market Kalshi Hits $11 Billion Valuation

Prediction Market Kalshi Hits $11 Billion Valuation

The post Prediction Market Kalshi Hits $11 Billion Valuation appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Prediction market platform Kalshi has secured $1 billion in fresh funding, pushing its valuation to $11 billion. The move comes amid the rapid integration of prediction platforms into the mainstream. Users flock to these sites to wager on everything from elections and crypto prices to even daily temperature readings. Kalshi Hits $11 Billion Valuation After Record Latest Round Kalshi’s latest capital raise comes less than two months after the company secured $300 million at a $5 billion valuation. Citing people familiar with the matter, TechCrunch reported that the newest round was led by both previous backers and new investors. Sponsored Sponsored The returning investors included Sequoia and CapitalG. Andreessen Horowitz, Paradigm, Anthos Capital, and Neo joined them. Meanwhile, rival platform Polymarket is pursuing its own ambitious funding, targeting a $12 billion valuation. Kalshi has emerged as the leading prediction platform, overtaking Polymarket in September. However, the dominance has been recently challenged by Opinion. Dune Analytics data showed that the platform recorded a weekly notional volume of $1.46 billion. This was slightly higher than Kalshi’s $1.2 billion, while Polymarket trailed behind with less than $1 billion. Market Volume of Prediction Platforms. Source: Dune Still, Kalshi has continued to expand its presence. The platform now serves users in over 140 countries. According to the official data tracker, Kalshi’s cumulative transactions stand at over 68.4 million, with a cumulative trading volume exceeding $17 billion. Additionally, prediction markets continue to gain mainstream visibility, further bolstered by Google’s latest move. Google Finance has integrated real-time data from both Kalshi and Polymarket, marking a notable step in bringing event-based trading to a wider audience. Despite this growth, Kalshi faces escalating legal challenges. The platform operates as a federally regulated Designated Contract Market under the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. “Kalshi is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/11/21

Coinbase Takes a Big Step Toward Becoming the On-Chain Bank of the U.S.

Coinbase Takes a Big Step Toward Becoming the On-Chain Bank of the U.S.

Key Takeaways: Coinbase is shifting toward a full on-chain financial platform. Ether-backed USDC loans are part of a broader expansion […] The post Coinbase Takes a Big Step Toward Becoming the On-Chain Bank of the U.S. appeared first on Coindoo.

Author: Coindoo

2025/11/21

How Prediction Markets Could Create Crypto’s Next Billion Users

How Prediction Markets Could Create Crypto’s Next Billion Users

The post How Prediction Markets Could Create Crypto’s Next Billion Users appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Prediction markets have been quite the story in 2025. From being a highly niche, unknown category previously, companies in the prediction market space are blowing up. They have now raised cash at bonanza billion dollar valuations to fuel their popularity and growth.  The most well-known are Polymarket, which received a $2 billion investment from NYSE owner Intercontinental Exchange at a $9 billion valuation and Kalshi, which raised $300 million at a $5 billion valuation, both in October. And prediction market players such as Opinion, Limitless and Myriad have also raised or are seeing user growth.  With this predicting frenzy in mind, what happens next? Can these platforms, most of which are blockchain and crypto-based, help bring in a totally new set of users? Could they bring blockchain to the next billion, the fever dream every crypto native seeks? Sponsored Sponsored The Path To Predicting Although venues like Kalshi and Polmarket seem to have come out of nowhere in 2025 to the uninitiated, prediction markets actually aren’t new to the scene. “They’ve been around in crypto for quite a while,” noted Shresth Agrawal, CEO of Pod, a layer 1 blockchain. “We had Gnosis and Augur, which were some of the early ICO companies that tried it.” Augur’s REP token has appreciated over 150% over the past year. Source: CoinGecko In August 2015, Augur raised $5.5 million in an ICO. In April 2017, Gnosis raised $12.5 million with their ICO that sold out in ten minutes. Augur is still chugging along, with its v2 launch supporting the DAI stablecoin and its REP token ripping the past year. Gnosis pivoted away from predictions to its highly lucrative Safe multisig wallet, which scored $100 million in funding in 2022.   During the first Trump administration, in 2020, Kalshi was able to gain approval from the…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/11/21

Kalshi Reportedly Raises $1 Billion, Valuation Approaches $11 Billion in Prediction Markets

Kalshi Reportedly Raises $1 Billion, Valuation Approaches $11 Billion in Prediction Markets

The post Kalshi Reportedly Raises $1 Billion, Valuation Approaches $11 Billion in Prediction Markets appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Kalshi has secured a $1 billion funding round led by Sequoia Capital and CapitalG, boosting its valuation to $11 billion and positioning it alongside Polymarket in the predictions market’s elite valuation club exceeding $10 billion. The funding round values Kalshi at $11 billion, matching the growth trajectory of rival Polymarket. Kalshi’s expansion to 140 countries […] Source: https://en.coinotag.com/kalshi-reportedly-raises-1-billion-valuation-approaches-11-billion-in-prediction-markets

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews

2025/11/21

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